Revealing contact with extraterrestrial intelligence to the public at large is a topic of great debate in the scientific community. There are both pros and cons to such a disclosure.
Models and Premises
Of course there is a plethora of theoretical models that aim to predict the behavior of major geopolitical players. These models use various approaches, from qualitative assessments to quantitative data analysis, to better understand and predict the actions of states and non-state actors in the international system. Some of the most prominent models include: